Florida vs Alabama 10/2/2010

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Alabama is a solid favorite with a 63% chance to beat Florida. Mark Ingram is projected for 127 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 37% of simulations where Florida wins, John Brantley averages 1.27 TD passes vs 0.73 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.59 TDs to 0.94 interceptions. Jeffery Demps averages 56 rushing yards and 0.35 rushing TDs when Florida wins and 50 yards and 0.17 TDs in losses. Alabama has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 74% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is ALA -9 --- Over/Under line is 47.5

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